Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000643 0.000729 0.000821 0.000925 0.001039 0.001161 0.001300
2025-12-21 0.000496 0.000613 0.000746 0.000906 0.001094 0.001304 0.001557
2025-12-28 0.000435 0.000571 0.000730 0.000930 0.001172 0.001453 0.001803
2026-01-04 0.000385 0.000531 0.000710 0.000943 0.001234 0.001581 0.002024
2026-01-11 0.000337 0.000488 0.000679 0.000936 0.001265 0.001669 0.002195
2026-01-18 0.000297 0.000450 0.000650 0.000927 0.001291 0.001747 0.002355
2026-01-25 0.000270 0.000426 0.000637 0.000935 0.001337 0.001851 0.002546
2026-02-01 0.000244 0.000401 0.000620 0.000936 0.001372 0.001939 0.002718
2026-02-08 0.000213 0.000365 0.000584 0.000908 0.001365 0.001970 0.002817
2026-02-15 0.000188 0.000335 0.000554 0.000886 0.001364 0.002008 0.002922
2026-02-22 0.000170 0.000315 0.000537 0.000881 0.001384 0.002074 0.003067
2026-03-01 0.000155 0.000299 0.000523 0.000879 0.001410 0.002147 0.003220
2026-03-08 0.000139 0.000279 0.000504 0.000868 0.001421 0.002201 0.003352
2026-03-15 0.000124 0.000259 0.000483 0.000853 0.001426 0.002245 0.003470
2026-03-22 0.000118 0.000255 0.000485 0.000875 0.001486 0.002369 0.003702
2026-03-29 0.000111 0.000247 0.000483 0.000888 0.001531 0.002474 0.003908
2026-04-05 0.000100 0.000233 0.000468 0.000880 0.001546 0.002533 0.004051
2026-04-12 0.000091 0.000220 0.000454 0.000872 0.001557 0.002587 0.004186
2026-04-19 0.000085 0.000213 0.000449 0.000880 0.001595 0.002680 0.004381
2026-04-26 0.000079 0.000204 0.000441 0.000881 0.001621 0.002756 0.004552
2026-05-03 0.000069 0.000187 0.000418 0.000854 0.001601 0.002762 0.004616
2026-05-10 0.000061 0.000173 0.000398 0.000833 0.001589 0.002778 0.004697
2026-05-17 0.000056 0.000165 0.000388 0.000828 0.001604 0.002835 0.004839